Systemplays.com is your online source for quality sports betting picks. Every play is 100% free with absolutely no strings attached and they are posted right here and/or on Twitter well in advance of the games in most cases.
My name is Doug Fitz. I live in Las Vegas and have been handicapping and betting sports since 1985.
No one can or should go about this on their own so I am grateful to Eric Parkila (@epsports22 on Twitter) for his knowledge and assistance.
I have no interest in selling my picks. I don't want your email (except of course from my contact section below so I can respond to any of your questions or thoughts) or any other personal information. I don't do marketing or affiliate links. I only strive to establish a solid and honest reputation among the sports betting community and my followers.
I don't claim to be an expert nor do I claim to consistently achieve good results. Every handicapper has ups and downs and I'm no different. I'll let my followers decide what they want to do with my plays.
I have appeared and co-hosted on several local radio shows, most notably YOU CAN BET ON IT, THE LAS VEGAS SPORTSLINE, SPORTSBOOK RADIO and VSIN (Vegas Stats & Information Network).
I participate in several contests in the Las Vegas Review-Journal (see my AWARDS page). I also write several feature articles analyzing the NFL in the Sunday sports section and contribute commentary for various sports.
I am proud to be one of the featured subjects in Las Vegas author Rob Miech's book SPORTS BETTING FOR WINNERS. In addition, I have contributed to Miech's articles in the weekly gambling newspaper GAMING TODAY and the CHICAGO SUN-TIMES.
Please follow me on Twitter @fitz_doug. Some plays are posted only on Twitter (primarily 2nd half and in game plays) but the outcomes will be included on my RESULTS page. I don't delete any of my tweets. For those of you that follow me on Twitter, I recommend you set up notifications for my tweets to allow you to know any late, in play, 2nd half, etc. plays that I'm unable to post on this site and can only post on Twitter due to time constraints or logistics. You won't get bombarded with notifications as I post very little content outside of my plays.
I operate and maintain the site totally on my own which is why this is not a glamorous site. I'd rather spend my time giving out good, solid information and plays rather than having a site full of ads or useless marketing hype. I don't include write ups with the plays because, after all; it is a free site and I'm not about to make public any of my systems' details to possibly put me at a disadvantage. Most of my systems are simple with few parameters. They all have ample sample sizes and long term historical positive results.
I no longer post my plays on Capperswatchdog.com because they only monitor full games and I play a fair number of MLB 1st 5 innings, NBA 1st halves, NFL teasers, etc. I post all my plays on Twitter either exclusively or in addition to the current plays on my PLAYS page.
Success in sports betting can come only by first leaving your emotions and opinions completely out of your handicapping and replacing those with statistical and/or situational based analysis and research. Systems and strong situational factors are the basis for most of my plays.
I don't promise or claim ridiculous winning percentages as some sites or Twitter touts do because those claims are fairy tales no matter how good you are or what form of handicapping you use. My results are honest, good or bad.
Sports betting should be treated as a long term investment strategy just like the stock market. Anyone can have very good or very bad short term winning or losing streaks, and I certainly want plenty of the former; but long term consistency is the goal I hope to achieve. I personally wager on the selections I post on the site so I do put my money where my mouth is.
Pending plays are listed on my PLAYS page. All of my previous plays can be accessed by clicking one of the Twitter links within the site. You don't need a Twitter account to view the plays from the links. As I stated above, I don't delete my previous tweets.
My RESULTS page tracks my results in each sport per season and total results for the current year. Sports that don't have unique records are included in the total results. I no longer post win/loss records because I play a lot of money lines so units are more applicable.
I don't have a set number of plays. Some days will produce no plays while other days may have several.
The lines or odds are the best numbers from Stations, Westgate, Boyd or Circa sports books in Las Vegas at the time the plays are posted (within minutes after I bet those numbers); therefore, you won't see stale or days old numbers. The number listed to the left of each team is the Don Best official rotation number which identifies every team on the betting board worldwide. This makes it easier to find specific teams without scrolling all over the betting board.
Football and basketball point spreads are laying -110 unless otherwise noted. I no longer play totals (over/under) in any sport. See my MONEY MANAGEMENT page as to how I approach money line betting.
Any game postponed, suspended or not completed by Las Vegas rules will be considered no action.
MLB "F5" stands for 1st 5 innings only. MLB "RL" stands for +1 1/2 runs on money line dogs or -1 1/2 runs on money line favorites. MLB "LP" stands for both pitchers having to start. Otherwise, the plays are action. Several Las Vegas books have eliminated the listed pitchers option.
EPL "BTTS" stands for both teams to score yes or no.
"U" stands for units. Most plays are 1 unit in which case nothing will be listed to the right of the team I'm betting. "2U" indicates a 2 unit play and so on.
I'll make every effort to post the plays in a timely manner.
